Friday 22 March 2013

Nifty Future 22-March


Xpert Nifty 
22-Mar



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---------::::::::::: FRIDAY :::::::::::---------
Today we may see some short movement or consolidation at lower level's.
Since 18-Mar we have seen very high volatility in the market and VIX also increased consistantly.

However y'day NF Fut has again given -ve side breakout and the down trend is likely to continue as long as its trading below 5800 mark.
 
 
Trend Down : = -ve or down
Support : 5630-5626
Resistance : 5800-5830

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Thursday 21 March 2013

Nifty Future 21-March



Xpert Nifty 21-Mar


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Yesterday we have seen a silent buying in Nifty Fut. Today if it don't break and sustain below 5700 mark then we may see some short covering today only.  

Trend Down : = -ve or down
Support : 5700-5708
Resistance : 5800-5830

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Wall Street ends higher as Fed keeps stimulus in place

By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks climbed on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 snapping a three-day losing streak as the Federal Reserve reassured investors that it would keep supporting the economy.
The housing sector's stocks ranked among the best performers after Lennar Corp (LEN.N) reported a first-quarter profit well above analysts' expectations as lower interest rates and rising rents increased home sales.

The Dow hit an intraday record high but fell short of closing at another record. The view that the Fed will keep interest rates at record lows for years has helped drive the rally in stocks this year, along with signs of a strengthening U.S. recovery.

In its statement, the Fed said it would stick to its $85 billion monthly bond-buying stimulus, citing still high unemployment levels, but said it would take into account the possible risks of its policies.
The statement, and comments by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, came as the market grapples with banking woes in Cyprus, the most recent flare-up in the euro-zone debt crisis.

"It is amazing what a Fed on your side really brings for this market... It really can wipe out a lot of uncertainty and a lot of bad news," said Burt White, managing director and chief investment officer of LPL Financial in Boston.

Cypriot leaders held crisis talks on Wednesday to avoid a financial meltdown a day after the country's parliament rejected a tax on bank deposits, which had been proposed over the weekend by European Union officials.

Investors worry that a collapse of the banking system in Cyprus will tighten credit across Europe and become another hurdle in the region's bumpy road out of economic crisis.

The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) gained 55.91 points, or 0.39 percent, to end at 14,511.73, after rising as high as 14,546.82, an intraday record.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX) rose 10.37 points, or 0.67 percent, to finish at 1,558.71. The Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) climbed 25.09 points, or 0.78 percent, to close at 3,254.19.
The Dow is now up 10.7 percent for the year, while the S&P 500 is up 9.3 percent.

The CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX) or VIX, Wall Street's favorite barometer of fear, fell 12 percent to end at 12.67 -- its worst daily percentage drop in about three weeks -- after rising sharply for the past two days.

After the bell, shares of Oracle (ORCL.O) fell 8.2 percent to $32.85 after the world's No. 3 software maker reported revenue that missed expectations.

During Wednesday's regular session, the advance by U.S. stocks followed a recovery in European shares.

"You might have thought the markets would do horribly after the Cyprus parliament vote, but I think that was a good step forward," said Cam Albright, director of asset allocation for Wilmington Trust Investment Advisors in Wilmington, Delaware.

The stock of Lennar, the No. 3 U.S. homebuilder, jumped 4.8 percent to end at $43.40, its highest closing level since June 2007. The PHLX housing sector index (.HGX) shot up 2.8 percent to 197.17, its highest close since July 2007.

Shares of Adobe Systems Inc (ADBE.O), the maker of Photoshop and Acrobat software, also jumped, a day after the company raised its full-year adjusted earnings forecast. The stock gained 4.2 percent to $42.46.

Among the day's decliners, shares of FedEx Corp (FDX.N) lost 6.9 percent to $99.13, its largest daily percentage drop since September 2011, after the package-delivery company cut its full-year forecast. FedEx reported a 31 percent drop in quarterly profit on Wednesday, citing restructuring costs and weakness in its air freight express business.

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (.DJT) slipped 0.4 percent, weighed down by FedEx, one of its components.

Volume was roughly 5.9 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and the NYSE MKT, compared with the 2012 average daily closing volume of about 6.45 billion.
Advancers outpaced decliners on the NYSE by a ratio of about 3 to 1, while on the Nasdaq, 17 stocks rose for every seven that fell.
(Editing by Jan Paschal)


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Wednesday 20 March 2013

Nifty Future 20-March



Xpert Nifty
20-Mar



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Market is very much volatile. We have seen high high range in past few days.
To be honest this market is not for retail traders as if you keep small SL it cab triggered .

Looking at above chart below 5830 we can see 5675-5670
Above 5800-5830 is resistance zone  

Trend Down : = -ve or down
Support : 5700-5708
Resistance : 5800-5830

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Thursday 14 March 2013

NIfty Future 14-Mar



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Xpert Nifty
14-Mar


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We have said on 12-Apr that NF will find resistance near 5990 zone and hence it happen.. Now looking at above chart based on Fibonacci there is support near 5830 if break then 5793.
Any time below 5793 we can see 5670 mark again. 

Trend Down : = -ve or down
Support : 5830-5793
Resistance : 5990-5940

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Tuesday 12 March 2013

IIP grows at 2.4% in January 2013



IIP grows at 2.4% in January 2013

·         In January 2013 the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) rose by 2.4%, which was above the market?s estimate. The growth was contributed by a better than expected performance from the manufacturing and electricity segments. The IIP growth for December 2012 has been revised marginally upwards to -0.5% from the provisional estimate of -0.6%. Therefore, based on the three-monthly moving average, the IIP growth for January 2013 stands at 0.4% as against 3.2% in January 2012.

·         The manufacturing sector, which constitutes about 76% of the IIP, showed signs of recovery as it increased by 2.7% year on year (YoY) as against the decline of 0.7% YoY witnessed in December 2012. The mining output remained bleak as it declined by 2.9% in January 2013. But the electricity output witnessed a growth of 6.4% vs a growth of 5.2% in December 2012. In the use-based category, the basic goods and intermediate goods increased by 3.4% and 2.0% respectively. The consumer goods grew by 2.8% as compared with a decline of 3.6% seen in December 2012. The capital goods segment showed a decline of 1.8% YoY as compared with a dip of 0.6% in December 2012. 

·         On a sequential (month-on-month [M-o-M]) basis, the IIP increased by 1.3% in January 2013 to an absolute figure of 181.8 (179.4 in December 2012). The manufacturing, mining and electricity segments increased by 1.3%, 1.4% and 2.0% month on month (MoM) respectively. In the use-based category, the basic goods increased by 1.8% MoM whereas the consumer goods segment reported a 3.6% M-o-M increase led by a 4.1% M-o-M increase in the consumer durable goods segment. However, the capital goods segment reported a decline of 3.8% on an M-o-M basis.

·         The IIP growth numbers have re-entered the positive territory after a gap of two months, led by a pick-up in the manufacturing segment. Based on the three-monthly moving average, the IIP growth is +0.4% but it may improve going ahead. While the decline in the trade deficit (in February 2013) gives some comfort, the rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation could prevent aggressive monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). However, the market expects the RBI to reduce the repo rate by 25 basis points in the coming mid quarter policy review (on March 19, 2013) in view of the slowing economy and the tight fiscal deficit targets set by the government in the Union Budget for 2013-14. 

Report from Sources


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TRADING OR GAMBLING???

TRADING OR GAMBLING???

Most people don’t like to mix the words “trading” and “gambling.” For many, this somehow gives the impression that trading is like some secret poker game in someone’s basement, a dark alley game of dice, or weekend trip to Las Vegas. While these three examples may not sound glamorous, they all share the important aspects of trading. Whether you are playing a poker game for money, trading one of the various markets we trade, or Pepsi buying commercial time on television, money is being put at risk with the intention of a desirable return on that investment. In any of these examples, there is no certainty, there is only the opportunity for better odds and the astute trader (market speculator) knows this. Even Pepsi doesn’t know what kind of return they will get when they buy commercial time on a network. They have an idea but they never know the exact return, it’s a gamble.

You see, when you keep it real and understand that trading is gambling, you will then understand that it is the ultimate form of gambling. It happens to be the type of gambling where we the trader can STACK the odds in our favor, much better than Vegas can. Imagine you are playing a card game in Vegas only this time, you can decide whether you want to put your money down on the table AFTER you see your cards and the dealer’s cards and also bet as much money as you like on this hand. That’s trading my friends and that’s why it is the premier form of speculating on the planet. I have a friend who always tells me that the trading I do is just gambling and I tell him he is right only that it happens to be the type of gambling where you can absolutely stack the odds in your favor. Ceaser’s Palace, Mandalay Bay, and the others don’t enjoy the odds we are able to attain in trading if you know what your doing.

From Sources::

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Nifty Future 12-Mar



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Xpert Nifty
12-Mar


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As we said and as we are expected that NF Fut will find resistance near 5973-5993 zone and it make high around 5990 and give small fall of around 30-40 pts. Still this resistance zone in intact and new buyer will only attract above this zone.

Above the resistance zone we can see a sharp up move.
If it fail to cross and sustain 5993-6000 mark then again we can see some fall or profit booking in long position.. 

Trend Down : = +ve or upside
Support : 5800-5820
Resistance : 5973-5993

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Monday 11 March 2013

Nifty Fut 11-Mar



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Xpert Nifty
11-Mar


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A very supportive market for bull traders or buyers since last 2 days. Due to world market indian market is shown a very good strength. and today would be a crucial day to watch, as today we believe that market will give clear indication or trend.

Looking at above chart it seems that there is resistance zone near 5973-5993.
This is the 3rd time since 1 month NF Fut has come to this level. Today is NF Fut manages to cross and sustain above this level then a new and sharp buying could be seen.

Trend Down : = +ve or upside
Support : 5800-5820
Resistance : 5973-5993

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Saturday 9 March 2013

RBI Welcomes New Banks, With Caution






Guidelines Out

RBI Welcomes New Banks, With Caution

Key features of the guidelines are:

ü Eligible Promoters: Entities / groups in the private sector, entities in public sector and Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) shall be eligible to set up a bank through a wholly-owned Non-Operative Financial Holding Company (NOFHC).

ü ‘Fit and Proper’ criteria: Entities / groups should have a past record of sound credentials and integrity, be financially sound with a successful track record of 10 years. For this purpose, RBI may seek feedback from other regulators and enforcement and investigative agencies.

ü Corporate structure of the NOFHC: The NOFHC shall be wholly owned by the Promoter / Promoter Group. The NOFHC shall hold the bank as well as all the other financial services entities of the group.

ü Minimum voting equity capital requirements for banks and shareholding by NOFHC: The initial minimum paid-up voting equity capital for a bank shall be `5 billion. The NOFHC shall initially hold a minimum of 40 per cent of the paid-up voting equity capital of the bank which shall be locked in for a period of five years and which shall be brought down to 15 per cent within 12 years. The bank shall get its shares listed on the stock exchanges within three years of the commencement of business by the bank.

ü Regulatory framework: The bank will be governed by the provisions of the relevant Acts, relevant Statutes and the Directives, Prudential regulations and other Guidelines/Instructions issued by RBI and other regulators. The NOFHC shall be registered as a non-banking finance company (NBFC) with the RBI and will be governed by a separate set of directions issued by RBI.

ü Foreign shareholding in the bank: The aggregate non-resident shareholding in the new bank shall not exceed 49% for the first 5 years after which it will be as per the extant policy.

ü Corporate governance of NOFHC: At least 50% of the Directors of the NOFHC should be independent directors. The corporate structure should not impede effective supervision of the bank and the NOFHC on a consolidated basis by RBI.

ü Prudential norms for the NOFHC: The prudential norms will be applied to NOFHC both on stand-alone as well as on a consolidated basis and the norms would be on similar lines as that of the bank.

ü Exposure norms: The NOFHC and the bank shall not have any exposure to the Promoter Group. The bank shall not invest in the equity / debt capital instruments of any financial entities held by the NOFHC.

ü Business Plan for the bank: The business plan should be realistic and viable and should address how the bank proposes to achieve financial inclusion.

ü Other conditions for the bank:

·         The Board of the bank should have a majority of independent Directors.
·         The bank shall open at least 25 per cent of its branches in unbanked rural centres (population upto 9,999 as per the latest census)
·         The bank shall comply with the priority sector lending targets and sub-targets as applicable to the existing domestic banks.
·         Banks promoted by groups having 40 per cent or more assets/income from non-financial business will require RBI’s prior approval for raising paid-up voting equity capital beyond `10 billion for every block of `5 billion.
·         Any non-compliance of terms and conditions will attract penal measures including cancellation of licence of the bank.

ü Additional conditions for NBFCs promoting / converting into a bank: Existing NBFCs, if considered eligible, may be permitted to promote a new bank or convert themselves into banks.

ü Procedure for RBI decisions:

·         At the first stage, the applications will be screened by the Reserve Bank. Thereafter, the applications will be referred to a High Level Advisory Committee, the constitution of which will be announced shortly.
·         The Committee will submit its recommendations to the Reserve Bank. The decision to issue an in-principle approval for setting up of a bank will be taken by the Reserve Bank.
·         The validity of the in-principle approval issued by the Reserve Bank will be one year.
·         In order to ensure transparency, the names of the applicants will be placed on the Reserve Bank website after the last date of receipt of applications.