Wednesday, 1 January 2014

Part - 4 || New Year Resolution & Brief Note on Stock Market Year - 2014 Public · By Xpert Nifty

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Above is the chart of NSEI i.e. Nifty of 5 Year ( Duration : 5 Year || Date : 15-Sep-2013 to 30-Dec-2013 )
IF  you guys see minutely the above that then its very much clear that all the time NF has made base and move up side.
BASE #1      27-DEC-2011     = 4624.30
BASE #2      28-MAY-2012    = 4841.60
BASE #3      23-JUL-2012      = 5099.85
BASE #4      27-AUG-2013    = 5258.50
BASE #5      12-NOV-2013    = 5574.05
BASE #6      8-APR-2013      = 5528.55
BASE #7     18-AUG-2013     = 5471.75
With above figure ( As we are reading ) NF is making base at every Higher 200 or approx points, so can there be a strategy of Buying at every 200 pts dip??
Just look at data and figure out your self. All we can say that in recent duration we have 2 very very strong Base near 6000-6200 mark and we believe the trend can bend below this level.
Which means trader or investor may invest as long as NSEI index is trading above 6000-6200
Trader & investor may find very good opportunity in Banking Stock and Sector which is our core and favorite too in Year - 2014 in both the trend Up or Down. 
If you want to Success in any kind of Market then there is some Rules / Notes which could help you to earn tones of Money  in Stock Market.
  1. THE MARKET PAYS YOU TO BE DISCIPLINED.
  2. BE DISCIPLINED EVERY DAY, IN EVERY TRADE, AND THE MARKET WILL REWARD YOU. BUT DON’T CLAIM TO BE DISCIPLINED IF YOU ARE NOT 100 PERCENT OF THE  TIME.
  3. ALWAYS LOWER YOUR TRADE SIZE WHEN YOU’RE TRADING POORLY.
  4. NEVER TURN A WINNER INTO A LOSER.
  5. YOUR BIGGEST LOSER CAN’T EXCEED YOUR BIGGEST WINNER.
  6. EARN THE RIGHT TO TRADE BIGGER.
  7. DEVELOP A METHODOLOGY AND STICK WITH IT. DON’T CHANGE METHODOLOGIES FROM DAY TO DAY.
  8. BE YOURSELF. DON’T TRY TO BE SOMEONE ELSE.
  9. YOU ALWAYS WANT TO BE ABLE TO COME BACK AND PLAY THE NEXT DAY.
  10. GET OUT OF YOUR LOSERS.
  11. THE FIRST LOSS IS THE BEST LOSS.
  12. DON’T HOPE AND PRAY. IF YOU DO, YOU WILL LOSE.
  13. DON’T WORRY ABOUT NEWS. IT’S HISTORY.
  14. NEVER TAKE A BIG LOSS. ONLY A BIG LOSS CAN HURT YOU.
  15. MAKE A LITTLE BIT EVERYDAY. DIG YOUR DITCHES. DON’T FILL THEM IN.
  16. DON’T SPECULATE. IF YOU DO,YOU WILL LOSE.
  17. LOVE TO LOSE MONEY.
  18. HIT SINGLES NOT HOME RUNS.
  19. IF YOUR TRADE IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE IN A GIVEN TIMEFRAME, IT’S TIME TO EXIT.
  20. CONSISTENCY BUILDS CONFIDENCE AND CONTROL.
  21. LEARN TO SWEAT OUT (SCALE OUT) YOUR WINNERS.
  22. MAKE THE SAME TYPE OF TRADES OVER AND OVER AGAIN – BE A BRICKLAYER.
  23. ALL TRADERS ARE CREATED EQUAL IN THE EYES OF THE MARKET.
  24. DON’T OVER-ANALYZE. DON’T PROCRASTINATE. DON’T HESITATE. IF YOU DO,YOU WILL LOSE.
  25. IT’S THE MARKET ITSELF THAT WIELDS THE ULTIMATE SCALE OF JUSTICE.


Part - 3 || New Year Resolution & Brief Note on Stock Market Year - 2014 Public · By Xpert Nifty

Here come the interesting SUBJECT > Whats New & Next ??
Expectation From Year - 2014

Before going further few question rises in our Mind, and they are:-
Question #1
As there is Union election probably in April - 2014, and Election Commotion of India can start "Achar Sahita" in Febuary - 2014.
In that case can market really able to give Direction or Trend??
Question #2
In the duration of "Achar Sahita" & election time period what will happen to Inflation, CAD, Growth, Indian Rupee??
Question #3
Can current government can able to show their MAGIC in 2 months??

Election & Political Party:-
Currently there is 2 Major Party india "Bhartiya Janta Party " ( BJP )  and Congress and there is New comer Party in Delhi "Aam Admi Party" AAP.
After so many problem in current term of Congress, looks like they dint able to satisfied the expectation of Indian People which could be seen in Last 5 State Election Result. So if People not willing to give another change to Congress then can BJP will able to come in Power?
However AAP can also be in race in this election but can they really able to expand them self from 1 State to Bigger India?

**Note:
While preparing this report we have kept our emotion on Bank Locker and what ever we are saying is pure practical question raised in our MIND, it has nothing to do with any Individual/Corporate/Political Party & Person.

Question #4
IF BJP coming in power then do they really have any MAGIC wand?
Can they really able to bige boost to Indian Economy.

All we can say that In India and in every Political Party there are many Intelligent Person who can really do some Fireworks.
Since today we are starting a new page i.e. New Year- 2014, lets hope for Good and in Next Post we will give Short Idea of Nifty Index & Stock.

--------------Continue in Part 4



Part - 2 || New Year Resolution & Brief Note on Stock Market Year - 2014 Public · By Xpert Nifty

What are the major factor that took place in Year - 2013, which directly triggered to Stock Maket
  1. Rising Inflation
  2. Slow Down Growth
  3. Downgrading of Indian Currency INR
  4. Rising Essential Food Price
  5. Current Account Deficit ( CAD )
  6. Entry of Mr. Raghuram Rajan
  7. 5 State Election & Results
  8. Increase of Interest in Landing / Borrowing Rate
  9. Gold Import Condition
Last Year - 2013 was very much challenging time for government as many leading Finance House and expert's has lower down the Growth Projection.

Lets look at some of other Happening of the Year - 2013

Everything began well with the Finance Ministry's Economic Survey in February asserting that the growth rate during 2013-14 would improve to 6.1-6.7 per cent, from decade's low of 5 per cent recorded in the previous fiscal.

Growth rate during April-September slipped to 4.6 per cent from 5.3 per cent in the same period last fiscal, and it is doubtful that the full financial year would show an uptrend.
In a recent forecast, International Monetary Fund ( IMF ) lowered the growth projection to 3.75 per cent in 2013 from 5.7 per cent estimated earlier. It, however, forecast about 5 per cent in 2014.

Similarly, ADB lowered India's growth forecast for 2013-14 to 4.7 per cent from 6 per cent earlier. Like IMF, it too expects some improvement in the next fiscal and has projected a growth of 5.7 per cent. Other organizations have forecast a similar trend.

Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) had lowered the growth forecast to 5.3 per cent from 6.4 per cent. RBI had lowered the growth projection for 2013-14 to 5.5 per cent from its earlier estimate of 5.7 per cent.

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The declining value of the rupee and widening CAD were the other challenges the country faced this year. The domestic currency started depreciating after the US Federal Reserve announced in June that it could gradually cut down the bond purchases with the improvement in the outlook. The announcement sent the global stock and currency markets in a tizzy.

India was not left untouched. The rupee dipped to a historic low of 68.85 to a dollar in August. The BSE Sensex too bore the brunt. However, the efforts of the Finance Ministry as well as RBI, especially the new Governor Rajan, bore fruits and the rupee stabilised. The domestic currency has improved to around 62 to a dollar, while the BSE Sensex is trading above 21,000-mark.

CAD, which is the difference between the inflow and outflow of foreign currency, touched an all-time high of $88.2 billion or 4.8 per cent of the GDP in 2013-14.

 ------------------Continue in Part 3


Part - 1 || New Year Resolution & Brief Note on Stock Market Year - 2014 Public · By Xpert Nifty

Dear Trader Friends,
First of all we would like to wish all our friends a VERY HAPPY & PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR - 2014.
Here after we would like to give you some short happening of Stock Market Year - 2013 and Expectation from New Year - 2014

Before we go ahead we would like to show you guys a line chart of Year - 2013

Capture


**Above chart is from 31-Dec-2013 to 30-Dec-2013 ( 1 Year )
Note:
1. Blue Line in Center in NIFTY
2. Red Line in Bottom is NSE Bank
3. Green Line in Top is CNX IT

Based on above chart it is clear that out of this 3 index,
IT index has surely given mind blowing return to investors which is around 50%+
where as NSE Bank has degraded or fall around 10% in Year - 2013
& Nifty has given decent return of around 5%.

31-Dec-201230-Dec-2013
Nifty       5,905.10       6,291.10
NSE Bank     12,474.25     11,376.00
NSE IT       6,024.95       9,499.60

Before we go ahead,  just now TUBE LIGHT IN MY MIND HAS LIGHTEN and its saying me if Index itself is not able to Perform IS IT REALLY POSSIBLE TO EARN 500% - 700% - 1000% WHICH IS CLAIMED BY SOME OF TRADERS.
----------Continue in Part 2